Öz
Ortadoğu bölgesi derin bir jeopolitik
ve ekonomik yeniden yapılanma içerisindedir. 2010 yılı ile birlikte başlayan
süreçte demokratikleşme umutları, beklentileri; yerini çözülme, güvensizlik ve
kırılganlık sarmalına bırakmıştır. Ortadoğu Bölgesi’ndeki çatışmalardan biri
olan Suriye Iç Savaşı, en çok Türkiye’yi etkilemiştir. Bu çalışmanın amacı,
Suriyeli mültecilerin Türk ekonomisi üzerine etkilerini yansıtmaktır. Bu
çerçevede Türk ekonomisi üzerindeki etkiler üç farklı noktada ele alınacaktır:
Ekonomik büyüme, uluslararası ticaret, işsizlik ve factor piyasaları. Ardından
bu üç boyutun Türkiye’nin Avrupa Birliği ve Rusya ile ilişkilerini nasıl
etkilediği incelenecektir. Nihai olarak da Suriye İç Savaşının ve Savaşın neden
olduğu mülteci krizinin Türkiye’nin ekonomisini olumsuz etkilediği ileri
sürülecektir.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Türkiye Ekonomisi Suriyeli Mülteciler Eknomik Büyüme Uluslararası Ticaret İşsizlik ve Faktör Piyasaları
Kaynakça
- Afanasieva, D. (2016, July 26). In Turkish sweatshops, Syrian children sew to survive. Reuters, Retrieved from: http://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/europe-migrants-turkey-children/
- Arseven, M., Ersin, B. T. and Çetinkaya, O. (2017). Turkey announces action plan to improve transparency and fight corruption in 2016 to 2019. Retrieved from: http://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=9bd13f87-944d-445a-9bb3-defafe58cfc6
- Ballard, E. (2015, November 27). "Fighter-Jet dispute between Russia and Turkey disrupts wheat trade. The Wall Street Journal, Retrieved from: https://www.wsj.com/articles/fighter-jet-dispute-between-russia-and-turkey-disrupts-wheat-trade-1448647634
- Candemir, Y. (2016). Turkish economy defies political chaos with further growth. The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved from https://www.wsj.com/articles/turkish-economy-defies-political-chaos-with-further-growth-1459441506
- Capitalizing on Syrian refugees (2017). Financial Times. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/93e3d794-1826-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e
- Coker, M. (2016, October 10). Putin, Erdogan boost Russian-Turkish trade ties. The Wall Street Journal, Retrieved from: https://www.wsj.com/articles/putin-and-erdogan-set-to-boost-trade-1476100218.
- Del Carpio, X. V.; Wagner, M. C. (2015). The impact of Syrians refugees on the Turkish labor market. Policy Research working paper; no. WPS 7402. Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group. Retrieved from: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/505471468194980180/The-impact-of-Syrians-refugees-on-the-Turkish-labor-market
- Economics of the Syrian Refugee Crisis. (2017). Cato Institute. Retrieved from: https://www.cato.org/blog/economics-syrian-refugee-crisis
- European University Institute (2017). Syrian refugees: A snapshot of the crisis in the Middle East and Europe. Retrieved from http://syrianrefugees.eu/timeline/
- European Commission. (2016). Implementing the EU-Turkey statement – questions and answers. Retrieved from: http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-16-3204_en.htm
- European Commission. (2017). Turkey – Trade. Retrieved from: http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/countries-and-regions/countries/turkey/index_en.htm
- Girit, S. (2016, January 2). Turkey faces big losses as Russia sanctions bite. BBC News, Retrieved from: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-35209987
- High Hopes: Russia-Turkey political, economic ties to be ‘further strengthened’. (2016, December 18). Sputnik International, Retrieved from: https://sputniknews.com/world/201612181048712755-russia-turkey-relations-development/
- Karakaya, K. (2016). Syrian refugees boost Turkish economy, but for how long? Al-Monitor. Retrieved from http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/04/turkey-syria-refugees-boost-economy-but-for-how-long.html
- Kirişci, K. (2016, August 10). The implications of a Turkish-Russian rapprochement. Brookings, Retrieved from: https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2016/08/10/the-implications-of-a-turkish-russian-rapprochement/
- MacBride, E. (2016, December 13). At a tipping point: A currency crisis roils Turkey's economy. CNBC, Retrieved from: http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/13/at-a-tipping-point-a-currency-crisis-roils-turkeys-economy.html
- OECD (2016). Economic outlook, analysis and forecasts. Turkey - economic forecast summary. Retrieved from: http://www.oecd.org/eco/outlook/turkey-economic-forecast-summary-june-2016.htm
- Rubin, S. (2016, February 4). Turkey clears the way for Syrian refugees to get jobs. USA Today. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2016/02/04/syria-refugees-turkey-istanbul-damascus-work-permits/79756662/
- Sidar, C. and Tuncalp, E. (2015, April 3). Who's going to save Turkey's economy? Foreign Policy, Retrieved from: http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/04/03/whos-going-to-save-turkeys-economy-erdogan-akp/
- Syrian refugees boosting Turkey’s economy. (2017). Orient-news.net. Retrieved from: http://orient-news.net/en/news_show/115416/0/Syrian-refugees-boosting-Turkeys-economy
- Turkey current account. (2017). FocusEconomics, Retrieved from: https://www.focus-economics.com/country-indicator/turkey/current-account
- Turkey Economy - GDP, Inflation, CPI and Interest Rate (2017). FocusEconomics. Retrieved from: http://www.focus-economics.com/countries/turkey
- Turkey’s current account deficit widens in September. (2016, November 11). Hurriyet Daily News, Retrieved from: http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/Default.aspx?pageID=238&nID=106005&NewsCatID=344
- Turkey unemployment rate 2005-2017 (2017). Trading Economics. Retrieved from: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/turkey/unemployment-rate
- Turkey: New minimum wage. (2017). Library of Congress: Global Monitor. Retrieved from http://www.loc.gov/law/foreign-news/article/turkey-new-minimum-wage-2/
- Turkish government vows to lure more foreign investment. (2016, July 4). Hurriyet Daily News, Retrieved from: http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkish-government-vows-to-lure-more-foreign-investment.aspx?pageID=238&nID=101226&NewsCatID=345
- UNHCR (2017). UNHCR Syria regional refugee response. UNHCR Retrieved from http://data.unhcr.org/syrianrefugees/regional.php.
- World Bank (2017). Turkey overview. Retrieved from http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/turkey/overview
- Zenko, M. (2016). Turkey-EU Trade on Tenterhooks? Faltering Membership Talks Threaten Economic Ties. Council on Foreign Relations, https://www.cfr.org/blog/turkey-eu-trade-tenterhooks-faltering-membership-talks-threaten-economic-ties
Öz
The Middle East is undergoing a profound
geopolitical and economic restructuring. Since 2010, the region has
transitioned from a region with expectations for democratization, emanating
from the 2010 wave of revolutions, headed back to fragility and insecurity. Of
the Middle East conflicts, Syrian Civil War has the greatest impact on Turkey.
The aim of the study is to reflect the economic impact of Syrian refugees on
Turkey's economy. This article evaluates this impact by analyzing
Turkey’s economy from three separate fronts: Economic growth, international
trade, and unemployment and factor markets. The
concluding discussion examines how these aspects affected Turkey’s relations
with European Union and Russia. It affirms that Syrian Civil War and the
refugee crisis deviated Turkish economy.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Turkey’s Economy Syrian Refugees Economic Growth International Trade Unemployment and factor markets
Kaynakça
- Afanasieva, D. (2016, July 26). In Turkish sweatshops, Syrian children sew to survive. Reuters, Retrieved from: http://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/europe-migrants-turkey-children/
- Arseven, M., Ersin, B. T. and Çetinkaya, O. (2017). Turkey announces action plan to improve transparency and fight corruption in 2016 to 2019. Retrieved from: http://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=9bd13f87-944d-445a-9bb3-defafe58cfc6
- Ballard, E. (2015, November 27). "Fighter-Jet dispute between Russia and Turkey disrupts wheat trade. The Wall Street Journal, Retrieved from: https://www.wsj.com/articles/fighter-jet-dispute-between-russia-and-turkey-disrupts-wheat-trade-1448647634
- Candemir, Y. (2016). Turkish economy defies political chaos with further growth. The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved from https://www.wsj.com/articles/turkish-economy-defies-political-chaos-with-further-growth-1459441506
- Capitalizing on Syrian refugees (2017). Financial Times. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/93e3d794-1826-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e
- Coker, M. (2016, October 10). Putin, Erdogan boost Russian-Turkish trade ties. The Wall Street Journal, Retrieved from: https://www.wsj.com/articles/putin-and-erdogan-set-to-boost-trade-1476100218.
- Del Carpio, X. V.; Wagner, M. C. (2015). The impact of Syrians refugees on the Turkish labor market. Policy Research working paper; no. WPS 7402. Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group. Retrieved from: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/505471468194980180/The-impact-of-Syrians-refugees-on-the-Turkish-labor-market
- Economics of the Syrian Refugee Crisis. (2017). Cato Institute. Retrieved from: https://www.cato.org/blog/economics-syrian-refugee-crisis
- European University Institute (2017). Syrian refugees: A snapshot of the crisis in the Middle East and Europe. Retrieved from http://syrianrefugees.eu/timeline/
- European Commission. (2016). Implementing the EU-Turkey statement – questions and answers. Retrieved from: http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-16-3204_en.htm
- European Commission. (2017). Turkey – Trade. Retrieved from: http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/countries-and-regions/countries/turkey/index_en.htm
- Girit, S. (2016, January 2). Turkey faces big losses as Russia sanctions bite. BBC News, Retrieved from: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-35209987
- High Hopes: Russia-Turkey political, economic ties to be ‘further strengthened’. (2016, December 18). Sputnik International, Retrieved from: https://sputniknews.com/world/201612181048712755-russia-turkey-relations-development/
- Karakaya, K. (2016). Syrian refugees boost Turkish economy, but for how long? Al-Monitor. Retrieved from http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/04/turkey-syria-refugees-boost-economy-but-for-how-long.html
- Kirişci, K. (2016, August 10). The implications of a Turkish-Russian rapprochement. Brookings, Retrieved from: https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2016/08/10/the-implications-of-a-turkish-russian-rapprochement/
- MacBride, E. (2016, December 13). At a tipping point: A currency crisis roils Turkey's economy. CNBC, Retrieved from: http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/13/at-a-tipping-point-a-currency-crisis-roils-turkeys-economy.html
- OECD (2016). Economic outlook, analysis and forecasts. Turkey - economic forecast summary. Retrieved from: http://www.oecd.org/eco/outlook/turkey-economic-forecast-summary-june-2016.htm
- Rubin, S. (2016, February 4). Turkey clears the way for Syrian refugees to get jobs. USA Today. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2016/02/04/syria-refugees-turkey-istanbul-damascus-work-permits/79756662/
- Sidar, C. and Tuncalp, E. (2015, April 3). Who's going to save Turkey's economy? Foreign Policy, Retrieved from: http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/04/03/whos-going-to-save-turkeys-economy-erdogan-akp/
- Syrian refugees boosting Turkey’s economy. (2017). Orient-news.net. Retrieved from: http://orient-news.net/en/news_show/115416/0/Syrian-refugees-boosting-Turkeys-economy
- Turkey current account. (2017). FocusEconomics, Retrieved from: https://www.focus-economics.com/country-indicator/turkey/current-account
- Turkey Economy - GDP, Inflation, CPI and Interest Rate (2017). FocusEconomics. Retrieved from: http://www.focus-economics.com/countries/turkey
- Turkey’s current account deficit widens in September. (2016, November 11). Hurriyet Daily News, Retrieved from: http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/Default.aspx?pageID=238&nID=106005&NewsCatID=344
- Turkey unemployment rate 2005-2017 (2017). Trading Economics. Retrieved from: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/turkey/unemployment-rate
- Turkey: New minimum wage. (2017). Library of Congress: Global Monitor. Retrieved from http://www.loc.gov/law/foreign-news/article/turkey-new-minimum-wage-2/
- Turkish government vows to lure more foreign investment. (2016, July 4). Hurriyet Daily News, Retrieved from: http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkish-government-vows-to-lure-more-foreign-investment.aspx?pageID=238&nID=101226&NewsCatID=345
- UNHCR (2017). UNHCR Syria regional refugee response. UNHCR Retrieved from http://data.unhcr.org/syrianrefugees/regional.php.
- World Bank (2017). Turkey overview. Retrieved from http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/turkey/overview
- Zenko, M. (2016). Turkey-EU Trade on Tenterhooks? Faltering Membership Talks Threaten Economic Ties. Council on Foreign Relations, https://www.cfr.org/blog/turkey-eu-trade-tenterhooks-faltering-membership-talks-threaten-economic-ties
Ayrıntılar
| Bölüm | Makaleler |
|---|---|
| Yazarlar | |
| Yayımlanma Tarihi | 18 Nisan 2017 |
| Gönderilme Tarihi | 10 Şubat 2017 |
| Yayımlandığı Sayı | Yıl 2017Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1 |